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Kody Malouf

2022 Oscar Predictions

Updated: Jan 16, 2023

It’s Oscar season yet again and the nominations are in. As opposed to last year’s barren landscape of nominees, this year will see the return of several big names to the awards show. 2022’s nominees reflect the diverse landscape of films released this year, and also signals the Academy’s softening of their stance on streaming films



The 2022 Oscars nominations have finally been released, with Jane Campion’s subversive western “The Power of the Dog” leading the pack with 12 nominations. Campion’s latest feature is the presumed frontrunner for the night's biggest prize, but films like “Dune” (10) “Belfast” (seven) and “West Side Story” (seven) will also be looking to take home some hardware on March 27.


This year’s acting categories are full of familiar names, previous nominees like Will Smith and Andrew Garfield are eyeing their first wins as actors. While newcomers Kodi Smit-Mcphee, Ariana DeBose and Troy Kotsur will look to make beginner’s luck a reality. Perpetual nominee and 2019 winner Oliva Colman is also in the mix, and eight-time nominee Judi Dench is probably just here for the free drinks at this point.


On the filmmaking side of things, Ryusuke Hamaguchi’s critically lauded “Drive My Car” may not have the cultural buzz of some of its fellow nominees, but still scored nominations for Directing, Adapted Screenplay, International Feature and Best Picture, which might give it an outside chance of replicating the success of the 2020 phenomenon “Parasite.” Both are foreign language films — “Parasite” from South Korea and “Drive My Car” from Japan — but Hamaguchi’s film doesn’t have the same electricity surrounding it that Bong Joon Ho’s did a few years ago, which may ultimately leave it on the outside looking in when it comes to the bigger awards.


Predicting the Oscars can be a challenge, especially when the Academy seems to take pleasure in choosing odd winners that age like spoiled “Milk.” That being said, let’s predict winners for all the main categories of the 94th Academy Awards.


Actor in a Leading Role


Javier Bardem - “Being the Ricardos”


Benedict Cumberbatch - “The Power of the Dog”


Andrew Garfield - “Tick, Tick… Boom!”


Will Smith - “King Richard”


Denzel Washington - “The Tragedy of Macbeth”


Predicted Winner


Will Smith - “King Richard”


Actor in a Supporting Role


Crián Hinds - “Belfast”


Troy Kotsur - “Coda”


Jesse Plemons - “The Power of the Dog”


J.K. Simmons - “Being the Ricardos”


Kodi Smit-Mcphee - “The Power of the Dog”


Predicted Winner


Kodi Smit-Mcphee - “The Power of the Dog”


Actress in a Leading Role


Jessica Chastain - “The Eyes of Tammy Faye”


Oliva Colman - “The Lost Daughter”


Penélope Cruz - “Parallel Mothers”


Nicole Kidman - “Being the Ricardos”


Kristen Stewart - “Spencer”


Predicted Winner


Oliva Colman - “The Lost Daughter”


Actress in a Supporting Role


Jessie Buckley - “The Lost Daughter”


Ariana DeBose - “West Side Story”


Judi Dench - “Belfast”


Kirsten Dunst - “The Power of the Dog”


Aunjanue Ellis - “King Richard”


Predicted Winner


Jessie Buckley - “The Lost Daughter”


Directing


“Belfast” - Kenneth Branagh


“Drive My Car” - Ryusuke Hamaguchi


“Licorice Pizza - Paul Thomas Anderson


“The Power of the Dog” - Jane Campion


“West Side Story” - Steven Spielberg


Predicted Winner


“Belfast” - Kenneth Branagh


Cinematography


“Dune” - Greig Fraser


“Nightmare Alley” - Dan Laustsen


“The Power of the Dog” - Ari Wegner


“The Tragedy of Macbeth” - Bruno Delbonnel


“West Side Story” - Janusz Kaminski


Predicted Winner


“The Tragedy of Macbeth” - Bruno Delbonnel


Film Editing


“Don’t Look Up” - Hank Corwin


“Dune” - Joe Walker


“King Richard” - Pamela Martin


“The Power of the Dog” - Peter Sciberras


“Tick, Tick… Boom!” - Myron Kerstein and Andrew Weisblum


Predicted Winner


“Don’t Look Up” - Hank Corwin


Animated Feature Film


“Encanto” - Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer


“Flee” - Jonas Poher Rasmussen, Monica Hellström, Signe Byrge Sørensen and Charlotte De La Gournerie


“Luca” - Enrico Casarosa and Andrea Warren


“The Mitchell’s vs the Machines” - Mike Rianda, Phil Lord, Christopher Miller and Kurt Albrecht


“Raya and the Last Dragon” - Don Hall, Carlos López Estrada, Osnat Shurer and Peter Del Vecho


Predicted Winner


“Encanto” - Jared Bush, Byron Howard, Yvett Merino and Clark Spencer


Costume Design


“Cruella” - Jenny Beavan


“Cyrano” - Massimo Cantini Parrini and Jacqueline Durran


“Dune” - Jacqueline West and Robert Morgan


“Nightmare Alley” - Luis Sequeira


“West Side Story” - Paul Tazewell


Predicted Winner


“West Side Story” - Paul Tazewell


Makeup and Hairstyling


“Coming 2 America” - Mike Marino, Stacey Morris and Carla Farmer


“Cruella” - Nadia Stacey, Naomi Donne and Julia Vernon


“Dune” - Donald Mowat, Love Larson and Eva von Bahr


“The Eyes of Tammy Faye” - Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh


“House of Gucci” - Göran Lundström, Anna Carin Lock and Frederic Aspiras


Predicted Winner


“The Eyes of Tammy Faye” - Linda Dowds, Stephanie Ingram and Justin Raleigh


International Feature


“Drive My Car” - Japan


“Flee” - Denmark


“The Hand of God” - Italy


“Luana: A Yak in the Classroom” - Bhutan


“The Worst Person in the World” - Norway


Predicted Winner


“Drive My Car” - Japan


Music (Original Score)


“Don’t Look Up” - Nicholas Britell


“Dune” - Hans Zimmer


“Encanto” - Germaine Franco


“Parallel Mothers” - Alberto Iglesias


“The Power of the Dog” - Jonny Greenwood


Predicted Winner


“The Power of the Dog” - Jonny Greenwood


Music (Original Song)


Be Alive - from “King Richard;” Music and Lyric by DIXSON and Beyoncé Knowles-Carter


Dos Oruguitas - from “Encanto;” Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda


Down to Joy - from “Belfast”; Music and Lyric by Van Morrison


No Time to Die - from “No Time to Die;” Music and Lyric by Billie Eilish and Finneas O'Connell


Somehow You Do - from “Four Good Days;” Music and Lyric by Diane Warren


Predicted Winner


Dos Oruguitas - from “Encanto;” Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda


Writing (Adapted Screenplay)


“Coda” - Screenplay by Siân Heder


“Drive My Car” - Screenplay by Ryusuke Hamaguchi and Takamasa Oe


“Dune” - Screenplay by Jon Spaihts, Denis Villeneuve and Eric Roth


“The Lost Daughter” - Written by Maggie Gyllenhaal


“The Power of the Dog” - Written by Jane Campion


Predicted Winner


“The Lost Daughter” - Written by Maggie Gyllenhaal


Writing (Original Screenplay)


“Belfast” - Written by Kenneth Branagh


“Don’t Look Up” - Screenplay by Adamn McKay; Story by Adam Mckay and David Sirota


“King Richard” - Written by Zach Baylin


“Licorice Pizza” - Written by Paul Thomas Anderson


“The Worst Person in the World” - Written by Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier


Predicted Winner


“Licorice Pizza” - Written by Paul Thomas Anderson


Best Picture


“Belfast” - Laura Berwick, Kenneth Branagh, Becca Kovacik and Tamar Thomas, Producers


“Coda” - Philippe Rousselet, Fabrice Gianfermi and Patrick Wachsberger, Producers


“Don’t Look Up” - Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, Producers


“Drive My Car” - Teruhisa Yamamoto, Producer


“Dune” - Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve and Cale Boyter, Producers


“King Richard” - Tim White, Trevor White and Will Smith, Producers


“Licorice Pizza” - Sara Murphy, Adam Somner and Paul Thomas Anderson, Producers


“Nightmare Alley” - Guillermo del Toro, J. Miles Dale and Bradley Cooper, Producers


“The Power of the Dog” - Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, Producers


“West Side Story” - Steven Spielberg and Kristie Macosko Krieger, Producers


Predicted Winner


“The Power of the Dog” - Jane Campion, Tanya Seghatchian, Emile Sherman, Iain Canning and Roger Frappier, Producers


Production Design


“Dune” - Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos


“Nightmare Alley” - Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau


“Power of the Dog” - Production Design: Grant Major; Set Decoration: Amber Richards


“The Tragedy of Macbeth” - Production Design: Stefan Dechant; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh


“West Side Story” - Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Rena DeAngelo


Predicted Winner


“Dune” - Production Design: Patrice Vermette; Set Decoration: Zsuzsanna Sipos


Sound


“Belfast” - Denise Yarde, Simon Chase, James Mather and Niv Adiri


“Dune” - Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett


“No Time to Die” - Simon Hayes, Oliver Tarney, James Harrison, Paul Massey and Mark Taylor


“The Power of the Dog” - Richard Flynn, Robert Mackenzie and Tara Webb


“West Side Story” - Tod A. Maitland, Gary Rydstrom, Brian Chumney, Andy Nelson and Shawn Murphy


Predicted Winner


“Dune” - Mac Ruth, Mark Mangini, Theo Green, Doug Hemphill and Ron Bartlett


Visual Effects


“Dune” - Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer


“Free Guy” - Swen Gillberg, Bryan Grill, Nikos Kalaitzidis and Dan Sudick


“No Time to Die” - Charlie Noble, Joel Green, Jonathan Fawkner and Chris Corbould


“Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings” - Christopher Townsend, Joe Farrell, Sean Noel Walker and Dan Oliver


“Spider-Man: No Way Home” - Kelly Port, Chris Waegner, Scott Edelstein and Dan Sudick


Predicted Winner


“Dune” - Paul Lambert, Tristan Myles, Brian Connor and Gerd Nefzer



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